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CU News
31 July 2025
Featured News, Research & Innovation
This article was created based on a set of questions asked to Chula GENIE, a Generative AI platform developed by Chulalongkorn University in collaboration with Google Cloud, regarding Thailand’s demographic crisis. Since 2021, Thailand has been facing a critical demographic situation where deaths outnumber births, leading to a rapid population decline. The following is an analysis based on inquiries posed to GENIE.
Population projections using Spectrum 6 software indicate that Thailand’s baseline population in 2023 is 66.054 million people, with a Total Fertility Rate (TFR) starting at 1.16 and decreasing to 0.5. The projections show that by 2083, the population will be halved. The 0-14 age group will shrink from 10 million to 1 million, and the working-age population (15-64) from 46 million to 14 million, while the elderly population (65+) will grow from 8 million to 18 million.
The projections consider three fertility scenarios:
These projections were analyzed and reflected in the following articles:
GENIE was then asked to analyze the above data and articles to formulate a strategic plan for Thailand’s future population trends, with the following results:
“Hello. I have received the population projections and related articles. This is a critically important and challenging question for Thailand’s future. Based on the provided data, I have analyzed and synthesized a multi-dimensional strategic plan for the country:
Thailand is not only becoming an aging society but a super-aged society with a rapidly declining population. This impacts every aspect of the country and requires a national agenda with coordinated, multi-sectoral efforts.
Strategic Planning Recommendations (based on global Geopolitics & Geo-economics):
Policy Recommendations Summary:
A solution requires an Integrated Policy Package, addressing multiple dimensions simultaneously, focusing on:
This is a formidable challenge, but with genuine nationwide cooperation and action starting today, Thailand can transform this crisis into an opportunity for a stable and sustainable future. I hope this analysis helps guide your planning.”
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Chula is the place to discover one’s true individuality and the years I spent here were most enjoyable. Rossukhon Kongket Alumni, Faculty of Communication Arts, Chulalongkorn University
Chula is the place to discover one’s true individuality and the years I spent here were most enjoyable.
Rossukhon Kongket Alumni, Faculty of Communication Arts, Chulalongkorn University
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